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Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6863887
05/05/20 11:05 AM
05/05/20 11:05 AM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,477
MN
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walleye101 Offline
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walleye101  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,477
MN
The rate of recovery from this economic downturn cannot be predicted based on recovery from the great depression. Totally different factors leading into the depression than the current situation.

Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: walleye101] #6863896
05/05/20 11:17 AM
05/05/20 11:17 AM
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 2,619
Nebraska
WadeRyan Offline OP
trapper
WadeRyan  Offline OP
trapper

Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 2,619
Nebraska
Originally Posted by walleye101
The rate of recovery from this economic downturn cannot be predicted based on recovery from the great depression. Totally different factors leading into the depression than the current situation.

Well, lets hear your thoughts on exactly how you think we are going to recover then? I'm open to people with facts. Lets see what you think our recovery will look like?


Follow me on YouTube if you’re bored

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5Ulx1woYMmCN3IPLB0wwFw


Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6863902
05/05/20 11:25 AM
05/05/20 11:25 AM
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 11,215
Armpit, ak
D
Dirt Offline
trapper
Dirt  Offline
trapper
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Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 11,215
Armpit, ak
Originally Posted by WadeRyan
Originally Posted by trapperkeck
I believe we will have an economic recovery similar to those following The Great Depression and the World Wars. There will be an economic boom created by businesses starting up in the U.S.A. after watching our food and drug supplies manipulated by China, as well as a host of other industries. Our freedom creates resilience and will allow us to recover quickly, given some decent leadership. It won't be overnight, but I see some steady economic growth bin our country once this ridiculousness is over. The Joker in this whole thing is all the " economic stimulus" plans being floated around. If there is any kind of monthly payment plan to the American populace, we are screwed. This whole thing stinks of a way for the Federal Government to take over the "broken" if not "broke" health care system. A lot of moving targets out there at this point. I am still holding cash until I see some positive movement towards the Republic we were founded on.


I will let you read this as I am not going to point out all the highlights. I've never considered myself much of an economist but it's pretty crystal clear. As to being similar to the Great Depression and World Wars and then the words "will allow us to recover quickly," from all information I can find the recovery took at minimum 10 years. I don't find that too quickly personally but everyone has their own idea of quickly.

https://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/recovery.htm

I also like this graph..
[Linked Image]

The stimulus money is definitely another issue at hand. People are making more money staying home on "unemployment" then they did when they were working. What makes you guys think they are going to jump right back into the labor force?

I think anyone in their right mind has seen how government provided healthcare worked for Italy. It would be madness to fall into that mess. I do find it interesting finally, after weeks of me mentioning it they are finally coming out with studies that show ventilating patients was the wrong choice.

"Mortality rates for those who received mechanical ventilation in the 18-to-65 and older-than-65 age groups were 76.4% and 97.2%, respectively. Mortality rates for those in the 18-to-65 and older-than-65 age groups who did not receive mechanical ventilation were 19.8% and 26.6%, respectively (JAMA, 2020)."


Once again something that might have been able to be avoided if there wasn't such a fear of the virus itself ran wild with by the media. Some protocols I have seen were intubating patients at 92% oxygen saturation. We typically don't even apply oxygen to someone until they are below 90% and these people were being intubated.

I'm not sure holding your cash or burying it in the yard is a great choice at this moment. At some point that cash might be worthless. I've done rather well over the last month and a half. Seeing some 30% to 60% daily gains on different stocks. I've got some in for the long haul but I am jumping in the "don't let a crisis go to waste," boat.




Isn't 2016 an Obama year? Looks a lot like the greatest economy (2017-2019) in the history of the universe. Too bad it (obama's) was the worst. frown

Last edited by Dirt; 05/05/20 11:41 AM. Reason: clarity more clarity

Who is John Galt?
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6863954
05/05/20 12:27 PM
05/05/20 12:27 PM
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,179
Nebraska
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hunter88 Offline
Government Troll
hunter88  Offline
Government Troll
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Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,179
Nebraska
Originally Posted by WadeRyan


The stimulus money is definitely another issue at hand. People are making more money staying home on "unemployment" then they did when they were working. What makes you guys think they are going to jump right back into the labor force?





At least in the case of Nebraska and Iowa, if you lost your job because of Covid 19, and are then offered your job back now that things are opening up. But you turn down the offer of getting your job back, you no longer get the special Covid 19 unemployment with the extra $600.

I have not read reports from other states, I've only seen the reports coming out of Nebraska and Iowa up to this point, but that is the way it is suppose to work.



Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6863956
05/05/20 12:35 PM
05/05/20 12:35 PM
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 11,215
Armpit, ak
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Dirt Offline
trapper
Dirt  Offline
trapper
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Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 11,215
Armpit, ak
The neighbors I babysit, who are retired and are recieving their government retirement checks still, told me they both got $1200 stay retired checks. crazy


Who is John Galt?
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6863962
05/05/20 12:44 PM
05/05/20 12:44 PM
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,179
Nebraska
H
hunter88 Offline
Government Troll
hunter88  Offline
Government Troll
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Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,179
Nebraska
It makes no sense to try and compare this to the great depression, there is nothing to compare to.

In the great depression there were no jobs to go to for the unemployed. You can't fix unemployment is no one is hiring, and that was the case for the great depression. Because the great depression was economic related not virus related businesses closed over a number of years, so there was no businesses to hire people. It took a long time for new businesses come back and start hiring again. They didn't have a supply of current businesses waiting to start back up.

Here all the businesses were running fine, until the virus hit and many had to temporally close. They didn't close because they were going broke, that's the big difference. Once they start opening up, as many have and many more will in the coming weeks, the jobs will be there again for people to come back to. And as I said in the other post, if they want to sit around at home rather then work, they don't get their Covid unemployment.

Will some businesses not come back from this, sure there will be some, but then there are always businesses that are running on a thin margin and can't make it with a 6 or 8 week close down. There are also businesses that are fine in a good economy when people have money to spend. I'm not sure I'd call them non essential, I'd say they are more like luxury business in that they do good in good times, but if things go bad, they are the first businesses most people see as a luxury instead of a necessity. When I have some extra money I'll spend money there, but if things get tight, that's the first business where I stop spending money. Those types of businesses will probably not make it for 6 or 8 weeks either.

But for the vast majority of businesses they can handle a short shut down and be ready to go as things open up, with jobs available to those that lost theirs. Add in new businesses now that more and more people will not want to do business with China, and the job market has no reason not to grow.

Now if somebody says prove that, I'd say prove to me all the gloom and doom the media pushes about an economy that will take years to recover is true. The media has an agenda, they hate Trump, I don't have an agenda, I'm just using common sense, something that seems in very short supply now a days.



Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6863978
05/05/20 01:03 PM
05/05/20 01:03 PM
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 2,175
Rochester, MN
Teacher Offline
trapper
Teacher  Offline
trapper

Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 2,175
Rochester, MN
i’m not really sure what point everyone is trying to make. NYC appears to be the hardest hit with New Jersey coming in 2nd best. People are dying from a respiratory disease. Underlying conditions are being noted too. Quite frankly, as you age, everybody has underlying medical conditions. But the thing that seems to be killing them is a no-nonsense inability to breathe characterized by this virus. Realistically, at near 70, I don’t care how my death is recorded, if my wife takes me to the ER because I can’t breathe. And I don’t care whether they say I was over weight, had high blood pressure, was borderline diabetic and was going bald, as long as I’m counted as one who succumbed to covid-19 if that’s what I died from on the day I died.

Seriously, I don’t think this disease is being over-hyped at all. So what if 10,000 deaths weren’t attributed to the right category. I don’t care one bit. We have almost 1.2 million laboratory confirmed cases and 70,000 deaths attributed to one disease and that bothers me enough to stay away from other people. If you don’t want to believe this is serious stuff, so be it. But PLEASE don’t come over, stand close and act like this is no big deal. At close to 70, I don’t need your disbelief and to be exposed to what you may be asymptomatically carrying.


Never too old to learn
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864000
05/05/20 02:04 PM
05/05/20 02:04 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,916
williamsburg ks
D
danny clifton Offline
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Offline
"Grumpy Old Man"
D

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,916
williamsburg ks
Stay inside your home teacher. Have groceries delivered. Leave them out in the yard in the sun for a couple hours before you bring them in the house. Wear a space suit and breathe sterilized air from a tank when you go out in yard. Nobody cares.


Just dont try and tell me how to live.


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: danny clifton] #6864049
05/05/20 03:07 PM
05/05/20 03:07 PM
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,179
Nebraska
H
hunter88 Offline
Government Troll
hunter88  Offline
Government Troll
H

Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,179
Nebraska
Originally Posted by danny clifton
Stay inside your home teacher. Have groceries delivered. Leave them out in the yard in the sun for a couple hours before you bring them in the house. Wear a space suit and breathe sterilized air from a tank when you go out in yard. Nobody cares.


Just dont try and tell me how to live.


Overreact much.

I've read his post three times, and no where did he tell you how to live, he just asked those that don't feel this is a big deal to stay away from him.

I thought this is what us higher risk older people were suppose to do. Take care of ourselves and avoid others like yourself so you can go on with your life without worrying about spreading something to those of us at higher risk.



Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864186
05/05/20 07:19 PM
05/05/20 07:19 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 1,754
eastern washinghton
7
70sdiver Offline
trapper
70sdiver  Offline
trapper
7

Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 1,754
eastern washinghton
I don’t believe any of the count.



Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864228
05/05/20 08:31 PM
05/05/20 08:31 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,477
MN
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walleye101 Offline
trapper
walleye101  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,477
MN
Originally Posted by WadeRyan
Originally Posted by walleye101
The rate of recovery from this economic downturn cannot be predicted based on recovery from the great depression. Totally different factors leading into the depression than the current situation.

Well, lets hear your thoughts on exactly how you think we are going to recover then? I'm open to people with facts. Lets see what you think our recovery will look like?


That's the problem. No one has any facts to support how they think this recovery will happen. It is pure speculation because we have not experienced anything similar to these circumstances before. But if you want my guess I'd say we will bounce back quickly, much faster than after the great depression, because much of what was there when this hit is still there to resume.

Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: Teacher] #6864238
05/05/20 08:40 PM
05/05/20 08:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,477
MN
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walleye101 Offline
trapper
walleye101  Offline
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Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,477
MN
Originally Posted by Teacher


So what if 10,000 deaths weren’t attributed to the right category. I don’t care one bit.


I agree that the precise number of deaths does not matter, 60 or 70 thousand it is still tragic. But are you saying you don't care one bit if the numbers are being intentionally inflated? I don't appreciate anyone trying to manipulate the public by altering facts to enhance some agenda.

Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864267
05/05/20 09:05 PM
05/05/20 09:05 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 1,754
eastern washinghton
7
70sdiver Offline
trapper
70sdiver  Offline
trapper
7

Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 1,754
eastern washinghton
Had a friend who died 2 weeks ago stage 4 lung cancer and his death certificate is covid .Ive been working everyday in the grocery business and if this virus is so contagious why aren’t all grocery workers sick? We are being lied to I bet the actual death rate is less than 50 percent of these numbers.In our county out of 800+ covid cases we have 50 deaths and 2/3 are from nursing homes.this was from our county health dept which by the way quit reporting where the deaths were coming from last week.It’s al b.s. in my opinion.



Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864302
05/05/20 09:33 PM
05/05/20 09:33 PM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,510
MN
S
Steven 49er Offline
trapper
Steven 49er  Offline
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Joined: May 2010
Posts: 10,510
MN
Governor's office came out today and said that MN will go from a 1.2 billion surplus in the biennium to a 2.42 billion deficit. Those number will be worse.


I think we need to cut all government employee salaries, cut their vacation, paid holidays, also cut their future pensions and the pensions of all retired government employees.

The states would open up in a hurry.


"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon". Milton Friedman.
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864485
05/06/20 12:18 AM
05/06/20 12:18 AM
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,812
WI
WIMarshRAT Offline
trapper
WIMarshRAT  Offline
trapper

Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,812
WI
WI governor promoting cutting expense by 5%. Too bad it wasn't actually 5%, let alone the value it should be. Didn't take long to figure out the previous rainy day fund isn't going to be big enough.

I ran across an interesting video today. Curious to get your thoughts on it?

https://youtu.be/IsuCa6V7prg


Life isn't about waiting for the storm to pass...it's about learning to dance in the rain!
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864517
05/06/20 05:06 AM
05/06/20 05:06 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,916
williamsburg ks
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danny clifton Offline
"Grumpy Old Man"
danny clifton  Offline
"Grumpy Old Man"
D

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,916
williamsburg ks
I think its very obvious now Fauci is a quack.


Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Benjamin Franklin (1706-1790)
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864521
05/06/20 05:30 AM
05/06/20 05:30 AM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 28,715
Eastern Shore of Maryland
HobbieTrapper Offline
"Chippendale Trapper"
HobbieTrapper  Offline
"Chippendale Trapper"

Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 28,715
Eastern Shore of Maryland
There are an average of 7300 deaths a day in the US however because of this virus that number is currently 8300 a day?

Would that change how you feel about the seriousness of the virus?


-Goofy-
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864535
05/06/20 06:02 AM
05/06/20 06:02 AM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 315
Onaway michigan
james dymond Offline
trapper
james dymond  Offline
trapper

Joined: May 2010
Posts: 315
Onaway michigan
According to the CDC’s website, in March 2020 there were a total of 193,000 deaths in the US. The average number of deaths in the US for March over the four years prior to 2020 (2016 – 2019) is 227,000. The difference between this year and the average for the past four years is 34,000. 2020 deaths are 85% of the average of the prior four years.

Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: james dymond] #6864540
05/06/20 06:23 AM
05/06/20 06:23 AM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 28,715
Eastern Shore of Maryland
HobbieTrapper Offline
"Chippendale Trapper"
HobbieTrapper  Offline
"Chippendale Trapper"

Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 28,715
Eastern Shore of Maryland
Originally Posted by james dymond
According to the CDC’s website, in March 2020 there were a total of 193,000 deaths in the US. The average number of deaths in the US for March over the four years prior to 2020 (2016 – 2019) is 227,000. The difference between this year and the average for the past four years is 34,000. 2020 deaths are 85% of the average of the prior four years.


That can’t be, we are in the middle of a deadly virus sweeping the nation.


-Goofy-
Re: Covid-Death rates in the United States. [Re: WadeRyan] #6864553
05/06/20 06:52 AM
05/06/20 06:52 AM
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 28,978
potter co. p.a.
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pcr2 Offline
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pcr2  Offline
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potter co. p.a.
how many are just normal flu deaths being counted as covid.









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