These surveys are one tool that can shed light on trends in wildlife. The general idea is that given equal effort, you catch more animals when there are more animals on the landscape.
A simple example would be if you set 20 mouse traps in your barn for a week each year. The first year you catch 50 mice. The next year you set the same amount of mousetraps for the same amount of time and you catch 30. One explanation is there the mouse population declined. Of course, there are a bunch of assumptions made – such as your skill level didn’t dramatically increase, or the mice got harder to catch (maybe more spilled grain around). For any one trapper, it is impossible to meet these assumptions. That is why these surveys involve a huge number of people. If you randomly pick 1,000 people, or a few thousand people, and ask for this information, these assumptions are less important.
Here is Wisconsin, about 1,500 people got a survey asking about how many beaver traps were set and how many beaver were caught in those traps. This is what we call a catch-per-unit effort survey. We randomly pick 1,500 names to receive the survey. Some of those people don’t trap beaver, or don’t trap during the time period we are talking about. Some of those people have great access and have trapped forever and are really good trappers. Others are not as experienced and not as good. But, if we randomly pick 1,500 again next year, it is likely that we will again have a similar mix of skill and situations. The information for any one trapper isn’t that useful. If, for example, Nimsy has great access one year and then he gets kicked off the following year, that may explain some of his decreased success rates and it may not have anything to do with the overall beaver population trend. But if we have a huge sample of trappers, like hundreds or thousands of trappers, these individual situations sort of even out.
Some of the critiques are:
What about weather? The longer the surveys have been done, the easier it is to account for this. After a few years, you can start to account for the variation that weather has.
What about different levels of skill? This is why it is really important to survey a lot of trappers. If you randomly pick 1,000 (just an example) trappers each year, it is reasonable to assume that each year you are going to get some good trappers, some not good trappers and some in between. With a really large sample size of trappers, you should get a sample that is fairly representative of trappers as a whole. There will always be some outliers. Jim Bridger may have a great success rate while I have a terrible success rate, but with a large group this evens out.
What about animal vulnerability over time? Some animals are easier to catch early in the season or late in the season. Typically, the information is looked at in small chunks of time to account for this. 1,000 coyote traps set in the breading season is not the same as 1,000 traps set in late October. So, we have to account for seasonal vulnerability.
Some strengths are:
These surveys may be one of the only sources of information. Some species simply don’t have a lot of information. It’s really hard, and expensive, to do marking studies and such for many animals. These surveys can provide some information on species that are otherwise hard to monitor.
These surveys can cover a large expanse. As trappers, we often think about the population on the few townships we are trapping on. Agencies are thinking about much larger areas. These surveys allow for information across a much larger area than field surveys can allow.
These surveys are cheap. If you need data, these surveys are a cost-efficient way to get a lot of information. For the cost of one good GPS collar, we can survey 1,000 trappers.
These surveys are not perfect, but they are useful. Like any data source, there are some flaws. They are designed to look at small scale trends, like a county level, and are not really for year to year changes. They are for long term trends over large areas.
Here is some detailed information if interested.
Roberts_Cornell Chapter 1 talks about it in detail and chapter 3 talks about it as it relates to management
Happy to answer questions – just be patient as I am about to sight in the rifle for a long weekend of hunting.
-Nathan